Wake me up when AI can...

The author collected about 800 Hacker News comments from 2016 to 2026 of the form "wake me up when AI can…" and "I'll believe it when…", then let readers vote on whether each bar had been cleared; over 100,000 votes from almost 9,700 people were cast before voting closed. Of 826 statements, 112 were judged "clearly happened" (mostly code and text tasks), 89 "clearly not yet" (mostly physical-world and novel-discovery tasks), and 78 were contested.