Hacker News AI· il·· 18 days agoAI score36
Can AI forecast elections better than experts?
Can AI forecast elections better than experts?
AI summary
BallotBench is a project of Control of Congress that compares AI agents' average seat forecasts and chances of control with calls from Kalshi and Polymarket, and highlights races where agents and markets disagree, ranked by the gap between their averages. Each agent works alone in its own sandbox, and a trace shows what it searched, read and ran.
Source: Hacker News AI · ballotbench.com